by The Packers must win their remaining three games (@MIA, MIN and DET) to keep their playoff hopes alive, but they need the help of many other teams. Their two-game winning streak came after seven losses in eight meetings. Green Bay only has one victory (31-28 over the Cowboys) against a team with a winning record.
Miami enters Week 16 as the seventh seed with a one-game lead over two division rivals (NYJ – 7-7; NE – 7-7). The Dolphins won the first meeting against the patriotswhile being expelled by Jets (40-17) in Week 5. They have rematches against both opponents during the last two weeks of the season.
Green Bay is 2-5 on the road and is led by 41 points. Their defense allowed fewer than 20 points in four of their six wins. The Packers must run the ball well to have a chance to win. Miami will allow rushing touchdowns (327/1,408/14). His best defensive success has come at home (15 points per game).
The Dolphins rushed for fewer than 100 yards in nine of their 14 games. His offensive power comes from his wide receivers (206/3,054/16 out of 305 targets), highlighted by the success of Tyreek Hill (109/1529/7).
money line: Packers (+165) | Dolphins (-200)
Spread: GB +3.5 (+100) | MIA -3.5 (-118)
Total: 49.5 – Over (-110) | Less (-110)
Game information: December 25, 2022 | 1 pm ET | Fox
Packers straight record: 6-8
Packers Against The Spread Record: 6-8
Dolphins direct record: 8-6
Dolphin Registry Against the Spread: 7-7
Information about odds and bets
Both teams are trending in two different directions. Miami lost its last three games to playoff teams (49ers, chargers Y Invoices) in the path. The Packers hope to extend their winning streak to two games.
The plus/minus (49.5) matches Green Bay’s highest total in 2022. Four of their previous five games have finished on the higher side of the betting total.
Miami have failed to cover the difference in seven of the last 11 meetings, while the over has come five times in their last seven meetings. The Dolphins are 5-1 at home with a 4-2 record against the spread.
The game is expected to be close, with an advantage for the Dolphins. Green Bay is at risk of defending the run (399/2,012/15), but Miami tends to have trouble running the ball. My bet is on the Dolphins’ home record and their top two wide receivers.
BET: Dolphins -3.5 (-118)
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